Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000706 0.000738 0.000770 0.000805 0.000842 0.000881 0.000924
2025-11-09 0.000646 0.000692 0.000740 0.000794 0.000855 0.000920 0.000995
2025-11-16 0.000600 0.000655 0.000715 0.000784 0.000864 0.000952 0.001057
2025-11-23 0.000579 0.000642 0.000713 0.000797 0.000896 0.001009 0.001149
2025-11-30 0.000555 0.000625 0.000703 0.000799 0.000914 0.001049 0.001221
2025-12-07 0.000528 0.000601 0.000684 0.000788 0.000915 0.001067 0.001266
2025-12-14 0.000503 0.000578 0.000666 0.000776 0.000913 0.001081 0.001305
2025-12-21 0.000483 0.000560 0.000651 0.000767 0.000914 0.001097 0.001347
2025-12-28 0.000453 0.000528 0.000618 0.000734 0.000883 0.001071 0.001330
2026-01-04 0.000436 0.000512 0.000604 0.000724 0.000880 0.001079 0.001360
2026-01-11 0.000423 0.000501 0.000595 0.000720 0.000883 0.001096 0.001402
2026-01-18 0.000410 0.000489 0.000585 0.000713 0.000883 0.001108 0.001437
2026-01-25 0.000402 0.000482 0.000582 0.000716 0.000898 0.001141 0.001504
2026-02-01 0.000388 0.000469 0.000569 0.000707 0.000894 0.001149 0.001536
2026-02-08 0.000376 0.000457 0.000558 0.000698 0.000891 0.001158 0.001569
2026-02-15 0.000372 0.000455 0.000561 0.000708 0.000915 0.001205 0.001664
2026-02-22 0.000366 0.000450 0.000558 0.000710 0.000927 0.001235 0.001732
2026-03-01 0.000355 0.000438 0.000547 0.000701 0.000922 0.001241 0.001762
2026-03-08 0.000344 0.000427 0.000535 0.000690 0.000915 0.001243 0.001787
2026-03-15 0.000335 0.000418 0.000526 0.000683 0.000912 0.001250 0.001821
2026-03-22 0.000319 0.000399 0.000503 0.000655 0.000878 0.001209 0.001770
2026-03-29 0.000311 0.000389 0.000494 0.000646 0.000871 0.001210 0.001792
2026-04-05 0.000304 0.000383 0.000488 0.000642 0.000873 0.001222 0.001833